Issued at 0300 UTC SAT AUG 31 2019
000
WTNT25 KNHC 310239
TCMAT5
HURRICANE DORIAN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 27
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
AL052019
0300 UTC SAT AUG 31 2019
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
NONE
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS EXCLUDING ANDROS ISLAND
A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* ANDROS ISLAND
A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA. A WARNING IS TYPICALLY ISSUED
36 HOURS BEFORE THE ANTICIPATED FIRST OCCURRENCE OF TROPICAL-STORM-
FORCE WINDS...CONDITIONS THAT MAKE OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR
DANGEROUS. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE
RUSHED TO COMPLETION.
A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
WITHIN THE WATCH AREA. A WATCH IS TYPICALLY ISSUED 48 HOURS BEFORE
THE ANTICIPATED FIRST OCCURRENCE OF TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE
WINDS...CONDITIONS THAT MAKE OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR
DANGEROUS.
INTERESTS IN SOUTHERN AND CENTRAL FLORIDA SHOULD MONITOR THE
PROGRESS OF DORIAN.
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 25.5N 71.4W AT 31/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT
9 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 948 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 120 KT WITH GUSTS TO 145 KT.
64 KT....... 25NE 25SE 20SW 20NW.
50 KT....... 50NE 50SE 40SW 40NW.
34 KT....... 90NE 90SE 60SW 80NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE 90SE 60SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 25.5N 71.4W AT 31/0300Z
AT 31/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 25.3N 71.0W
FORECAST VALID 31/1200Z 25.9N 72.8W
MAX WIND 130 KT...GUSTS 160 KT.
64 KT... 25NE 25SE 20SW 20NW.
50 KT... 50NE 50SE 40SW 40NW.
34 KT... 90NE 90SE 60SW 80NW.
FORECAST VALID 01/0000Z 26.3N 74.5W
MAX WIND 130 KT...GUSTS 160 KT.
64 KT... 25NE 25SE 20SW 25NW.
50 KT... 50NE 50SE 40SW 50NW.
34 KT...100NE 90SE 60SW 90NW.
FORECAST VALID 01/1200Z 26.6N 76.0W
MAX WIND 125 KT...GUSTS 150 KT.
64 KT... 25NE 25SE 20SW 25NW.
50 KT... 50NE 50SE 40SW 50NW.
34 KT...100NE 90SE 60SW 90NW.
FORECAST VALID 02/0000Z 26.8N 77.3W
MAX WIND 125 KT...GUSTS 150 KT.
64 KT... 30NE 25SE 20SW 30NW.
50 KT... 50NE 50SE 40SW 50NW.
34 KT...100NE 80SE 70SW 90NW.
FORECAST VALID 03/0000Z 27.0N 78.6W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 50SE 40SW 50NW.
34 KT...100NE 90SE 70SW 80NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 04/0000Z 28.3N 80.5W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 05/0000Z 30.8N 81.2W
MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 25.5N 71.4W
INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT35 KNHC/MIATCPAT5...AT 31/0600Z
NEXT ADVISORY AT 31/0900Z
$$
FORECASTER BROWN
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