000

ABNT20 KNHC 121134

TWOAT

Tropical Weather Outlook

NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL

700 AM EST Mon Nov 12 2018

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

A vigorous tropical wave located about 200 miles east of the Leeward

Islands is producing a large area of disturbed weather over much of

the western tropical Atlantic Ocean. Shower and thunderstorm

activity has increased and become a little more concentrated this

morning, and environmental conditions are forecast to gradually

become more conducive for the development of a tropical depression

or a tropical storm during the next day or so. The disturbance is

forecast to move westward to west-northwestward for the next few

days, passing near or north of the Leeward Islands, Puerto Rico,

Hispaniola, and the southeastern Bahamas. Interests in these areas

should closely monitor the progress of this system.

* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent.

* Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent.

&&

Additional information on this system can be found in High Seas

Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service, under AWIPS header

NFDHSFAT1, WMO header FZNT01 KWBC, and available on the Web at

https://ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.shtml.

$$

Forecaster Stewart

Click here to read more at The National Hurricane Center