000

ABNT20 KNHC 120500

TWOAT

Tropical Weather Outlook

NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL

100 AM EST Mon Nov 12 2018

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

A large area of cloudiness and thunderstorms extending from near

the Leeward Islands northeastward over the tropical Atlantic for

several hundred miles is associated with a westward-moving tropical

wave and an upper-level trough. Showers and thunderstorms

associated with this disturbance have changed little in organization

tonight, however environmental conditions are forecast to gradually

become more conducive to allow for the potential development of a

tropical or subtropical cyclone by the middle of the week. The

system is forecast to move westward to west-northwestward for the

next few days, passing near or north of the Leeward Islands, Puerto

Rico, Hispaniola, and the southeastern Bahamas.

* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent.

* Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent.

$$

Forecaster Brown

Click here to read more at The National Hurricane Center