October 12, 2018
General Situation: An upper level trough across the SE Bahamas along with trailing outer rain bands from Tropical Storm Michael continues to affect the area with some unsettled weather. Meanwhile, a surface high pressure ridge will build from the central Atlantic Ocean to the Bahamas as mid to upper level trough over the SE Bahamas shifts south-eastwards through Saturday. A weak cold front and pre-frontal trough will move near or across the Extreme NW Bahamas and it will become stationary as it produces some unsettled weather over the area through Sunday. A lingering trough near the SE Bahamas will trigger more convection at the beginning of next week as high pressure ridge builds across the area with moderate to fresh breezes.
Friday 12th – Partly to mostly cloudy, humid and hot across the NW and Central Bahamas with some scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms during the daytime through nightfall. Partly to mostly sunny, humid and hot across the SE Bahamas, turning partly cloudy to fair and warm at night. Maximum temperature 89°F and minimum temperature 76°F. Winds S to SW at 10 to 15 knots across the NW Bahamas, falling light and variable at times and ESE to SSE at 10 to 15 knots across the Central and SE Bahamas. Seas 2 to 4 feet across the entire Bahamas, but falling to 1 to 3 feet at times.
Saturday 13th – Partly, humid and hot with few scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms across the Bahamas. Partly cloudy to fair skies and warm at night with few showers across the NW Bahamas and lingering clouds or a shower across the SE Bahamas. Maximum temperature 91°F and minimum temperature 78°F. Winds SSE to SSW at 10 to 15 knots across the NW Bahamas, falling light and variable at times and E to SE at 10 to 15 knots across the Central and SE Bahamas. Seas 2 to 4 feet across the entire Bahamas, but falling 1 to 3 feet at times.
Sunday 14th – Partly to mostly sunny, humid and hot with isolated showers and thunderstorm during the daytime. Mainly fair and warm at night with the chance of a passing shower or two. Maximum temperature 90°F and minimum temperature 78°F. Winds E to SE at 10 to 15 knots across the entire Bahamas, falling light and variable at times across the NW Bahamas. Seas 2 to 4 feet over the entire Bahamas, falling to 1 to 3 feet at times across the NW Bahamas.
Beachgoers and Mariners should exercise extreme caution due to the risk of large swells and dangerous rip currents along the eastern shorelines during the stated forecast period. Boaters and Beachgoers should be alert for possible waterspout activity and take all necessary precautions to protect life and property. Residents should be alert for the risk of localized flooding during heavy downpours and prolonged rainfall events. Residents and Beachgoers should keep hydrated and avoid outdoors or protect themselves during the hottest parts of the day as these periods are when high heat indices occur.