Tropical Storm Kirk Forecast Advisory Number 10

Wed, Sep 26th 2018, 04:36 AM

Issued at 0900 UTC WED SEP 26 2018

063
WTNT22 KNHC 260836
TCMAT2

TROPICAL STORM KIRK FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 10
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL

AL122018
0900 UTC WED SEP 26 2018

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

THE GOVERNMENT OF BARBADOS HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR
BARBADOS. THE GOVERNMENT OF ST. LUCIA HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM
WARNING FOR ST. LUCIA.

THE GOVERNMENT OF BARBADOS HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR
ST. VINCENT AND THE GRENADINES.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BARBADOS
* ST. LUCIA

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* ST. VINCENT AND THE GRENADINES

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA... IN THIS CASE WITHIN 36 HOURS.

INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE LEEWARD ISLANDS SHOULD MONITOR THE
PROGRESS OF KIRK AS ADDITIONAL WARNINGS OR WATCHES COULD BE ISSUED
LATER TODAY.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.8N 52.7W AT 26/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT 16 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1004 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT.
34 KT.......100NE 90SE

0SW 40NW.
12 FT SEAS..150NE 120SE

0SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.8N 52.7W AT 26/0900Z
AT 26/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 11.7N 51.9W

FORECAST VALID 26/1800Z 12.4N 55.0W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT...110NE 100SE

0SW 40NW.

FORECAST VALID 27/0600Z 13.2N 57.6W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT...120NE 110SE

0SW 40NW.

FORECAST VALID 27/1800Z 14.1N 60.0W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT...120NE 110SE

0SW 40NW.

FORECAST VALID 28/0600Z 14.8N 62.3W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT...120NE 110SE

0SW 40NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/0600Z 15.7N 67.0W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 30/0600Z 15.9N 71.6W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 01/0600Z 16.0N 76.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 11.8N 52.7W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 26/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER STEWART

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