Issued at 0900 UTC THU SEP 13 2018

438
WTNT25 KNHC 130856
TCMAT5

SUBTROPICAL STORM JOYCE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER

3
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL

AL102018
0900 UTC THU SEP 13 2018

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

SUBTROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 33.8N 43.1W AT 13/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE SOUTHWEST OR 220 DEGREES AT

5 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT.
34 KT....... 0NE

0SE

0SW 70NW.
12 FT SEAS..360NE 120SE 240SW 300NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 33.8N 43.1W AT 13/0900Z
AT 13/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 34.0N 42.9W

FORECAST VALID 13/1800Z 33.3N 43.8W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 40NE

0SE

0SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 14/0600Z 32.6N 44.2W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 70NE

0SE 50SW 70NW.

FORECAST VALID 14/1800Z 32.0N 44.0W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 70NE 50SE 60SW 80NW.

FORECAST VALID 15/0600Z 32.1N 43.2W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 70NE 70SE 70SW 70NW.

FORECAST VALID 16/0600Z 34.6N 39.4W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 70NE 100SE 70SW 50NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 17/0600Z 37.0N 32.5W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 18/0600Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 33.8N 43.1W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 13/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER ZELINSKY

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