General Situation: Weak high pressure ridge will shift east of the area as a cold front makes its way through the Bahamas by Friday afternoon. This front will likely stall across the Bahamas as high pressure system builds over the eastern United States and a deep low pressure system develops off the eastern United States seaboard. This combination will produce extremely dangerous wells over the Bahamas and small craft boaters are advised to remain in port until seas subside. Another cold front and trough will move toward the Bahamas by late Wednesday with unsettled weather likely mid next week.
Friday 02nd – Partly cloudy and warm with spotty showers likely during the day. Partly cloudy and mild with some quick passing showers likely at night. Maximum temperature 82°F and minimum temperature 64°F. Winds SW to W at 10 to 15 knots at first in the NW and Central Bahamas switching to W to NW at 10 to 15 knots, falling light and variable at times, as E to SE at 5 to 10 knots is over the United States. Sea 2 to 4 feet in the NW and Central Bahamas, falling light and variable at times and 1 to 3 feet in the SE Bahamas but up 6 feet in NE’ly swells.
Saturday 03rd – Partly cloudy, breezy and warm with some scattered showers continuing during the day through nightfall mainly in the Central and SE Bahamas at night. Maximum temperature 77°F and minimum temperature 66°F. Small craft should exercise caution across the entire Bahamas with an advisory coming into effect for the NW Bahamas late. Winds N to NE at 15 to 20 knots in the NW Bahamas, becoming 20 to 25 knots late and N’ly at 15 to 20 knots in the Central and SE Bahamas. Seas 4 to 7 feet in the NW Bahamas, building to 6 to 9 feet late and 4 to 6 feet over the Central and SE Bahamas in N’ly swells up 12 feet over Atlantic water exposures.
Sunday 04th – Partly cloudy to cloudy, and breezy with some scattered showers during the day through nightfall. Maximum temperature 76°F and minimum temperature 65°F. Small craft should not venture far from port due to extremely dangerous swells over Atlantic exposures. Winds N to NE at 15 to 25 knots for NW Bahamas and N’ly at 15 to 20 knots in the Central and SE Bahamas. Seas 5 to 8 feet for the NW Bahamas and 4 to 7 feet in the Central and SE Bahamas but up to 12 feet in N’ly to NE’ly swells over Atlantic water exposures.
Monday 05th – Partly to mostly cloudy and breezy with scattered showers or isolated thunderstorms mainly across the SE Bahamas through night time. Maximum temperature 76°F and minimum temperature 67°F. Small craft should remain in port until extremely dangerous swells subside. Winds N to NE at 15 to 25 knots early and blowing 15 to 20 knots later over all areas. Seas 5 to 8 feet over all areas but up to 17 feet in N’ly and NE’ly swells over Atlantic water exposures.
Tuesday 06th – Partly cloudy to cloudy and warm with few passing showers occurring during day through nightfall. Maximum temperature 78F and minimum temperature 66°F. Small craft should remain in port due to extremely dangerous ocean swells. Winds NE to E at 10 to 15 knots for all areas, but becoming more SSE to SSW at 10 knots or less in the NE Bahamas later. Seas 2 to 4 feet over the ocean for all areas but remaining up to 12 feet over the open Atlantic water exposures.
Wednesday 07th – Partly cloudy to cloudy and breezy with scattered showers or isolated thunderstorms mainly across the NW and Central Bahamas through nightfall. Maximum temperature 80°F and minimum temperature 69°F. Small craft should remain in port until ocean swells subside. Winds S to SW at 15 to 25 knots in the NW and parts of the Central Bahamas becoming NW’ly at 15 to 25 knots later and for the rest of the Central and SE Bahamas E to SE at 5 to 10 knots but shifting more SW’ly at 15 to 20 knots in the Central Bahamas later. Seas 5 to 8 feet in the NW and parts of the Central Bahamas and 1 to 3 feet in the parts of the Central and SE Bahamas building to 4 to 7 feet later in the Central Bahamas. Ocean swells on the Atlantic exposures remaining up to 12 feet mainly from the N’ly and NE’ly
Beachgoers and mariners should exercise extreme caution due to high surf and the risk of rip currents along the northern and eastern shorelines during stated advisories.
Geoffrey N. Greene
