Issued at 1500 UTC THU SEP 07 2017 WTNT21 KNHC 071450 TCMAT1
HURRICANE IRMA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 34 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
AL112017 1500 UTC THU SEP 07 2017
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
A STORM SURGE WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR THE FLORIDA PENINSULA FROM JUPITER INLET SOUTHWARD AND AROUND THE PENINSULA TO BONITA BEACH... INCLUDING THE FLORIDA KEYS.
A HURRICANE WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR THE FLORIDA PENINSULA FROM JUPITER INLET SOUTHWARD AND AROUND THE PENINSULA TO BONITA BEACH... INCLUDING THE FLORIDA KEYS...LAKE OKEECHOBEE AND FLORIDA BAY.
THE GOVERNMENT OF CUBA HAS EXTENDED THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING TO VILLA CLARA PROVINCE.
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
A STORM SURGE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* JUPITER INLET SOUTHWARD AROUND THE FLORIDA PENINSULA TO BONITA BEACH
* FLORIDA KEYS
A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* DOMINICAN REPUBLIC FROM CABO ENGANO TO THE NORTHERN BORDER WITH HAITI
* HAITI FROM THE NORTHERN BORDER WITH THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC TO LE MOLE ST. NICHOLAS
* SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS AND THE TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS
* BAHAMAS
* NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS
A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* JUPITER INLET SOUTHWARD AROUND THE FLORIDA PENINSULA TO BONITA BEACH
* FLORIDA KEYS
* LAKE OKEECHOBEE
* FLORIDA BAY
* CUBA FROM MATANZAS PROVINCE EASTWARD TO GUANTANAMO PROVINCE
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* DOMINICAN REPUBLIC FROM SOUTH OF CABO ENGANO WESTWARD TO THE SOUTHERN BORDER WITH HAITI
* HAITI FROM SOUTH OF LE MOLE ST. NICHOLAS TO PORT-AU-PRINCE
* CUBA PROVINCES OF GUANTANAMO... HOLGUIN... LAS TUNAS...
CAMAGUEY... CIEGO DE AVILA... SANCTI SPIRITUS AND VILLA CLARA.
A STORM SURGE WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POSSIBILITY OF LIFE- THREATENING INUNDATION, FROM RISING WATER MOVING INLAND FROM THE COASTLINE, IN THE INDICATED LOCATIONS DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. FOR A DEPICTION OF AREAS AT RISK, PLEASE SEE THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STORM SURGE WATCH/WARNING GRAPHIC, AVAILABLE AT HURRICANES.GOV.
A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.
A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA. A WATCH IS TYPICALLY ISSUED 48 HOURS BEFORE THE ANTICIPATED FIRST OCCURRENCE OF TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS...CONDITIONS THAT MAKE OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR DANGEROUS.
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA.
INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC AND HAITI...AS WELL AS CUBA AND FLORIDA SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF IRMA.
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.4N 69.7W AT 07/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 10 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT 14 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 921 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 150 KT WITH GUSTS TO 185 KT.
64 KT....... 50NE 50SE 30SW 50NW.
50 KT.......100NE 70SE 50SW 70NW.
34 KT.......160NE 120SE 80SW 150NW.
12 FT SEAS..540NE 210SE 75SW 420NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.4N 69.7W AT 07/1500Z AT 07/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.1N 69.0W
FORECAST VALID 08/0000Z 21.1N 71.7W
MAX WIND 145 KT...GUSTS 175 KT.
64 KT... 50NE 50SE 30SW 50NW.
50 KT...100NE 70SE 50SW 70NW.
34 KT...170NE 120SE 90SW 150NW. FORECAST VALID 08/1200Z 21.9N 74.2W MAX WIND 140 KT...GUSTS 170 KT. 64 KT... 50NE 50SE 35SW 50NW. 50 KT...100NE 70SE 50SW 80NW. 34 KT...180NE 130SE 90SW 150NW.
FORECAST VALID 09/0000Z 22.5N 76.5W
MAX WIND 135 KT...GUSTS 165 KT.
64 KT... 50NE 50SE 40SW 50NW.
50 KT...100NE 80SE 60SW 80NW.
34 KT...180NE 140SE 100SW 160NW.
FORECAST VALID 09/1200Z 23.1N 78.4W
MAX 135 KT...GUSTS 165 KT.
50 KT...100NE 80SE 60SW 80NW.
34 KT...180NE 150SE 100SW 160NW.
FORECAST VALID 10/1200Z 25.5N 80.0W
MAX WIND 125 KT...GUSTS 150 KT.
50 KT...100NE 90SE 70SW 90NW.
34 KT...180NE 160SE 110SW 160NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 11/1200Z 30.1N 80.6W MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 12/1200Z 35.0N 82.0W...INLAND MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.4N 69.7W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 07/2100Z
FORECASTER AVILA
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